If you still hold doubts about Barack Obama's toughness, you clearly missed his acceptance speech. After McCain attacked Obama's patriotism, the gloves had to come off.
After gaining on Obama throughout August, polls are now suggesting a sputter in the McCain attack strategy.
Today's tracking polls reveal a serious gain for Obama. Gallup's tracking poll shows Obama now with an eight point lead, and Rasmussen gives him a four point favor. This is a much different picture than where we were during the middle of August when these two flagship polls suggested the race to be much closer.
Although there are scattered indications that Obama will get a significant bounce from his selection of Biden and the Democratic Convention, there are not yet credible polls from swing states to make any changes in our projection this week. Not enough polling data is available yet to move any of our swing states in either direction.
A new Mason Dixon poll now shows Obama with a 1% lead in Florida. Although within the margin of error, the poll is significant because, until now, McCain had led in every poll this month. We're keeping Florida in the McCain column for now until more polling is released.
Two of the last three polls in Colorado show Obama leading again. Suffolk puts Obama up by five while CNN shows McCain leading by one.
PPP shows Obama now leading in Virginia by 2%, and Obama is stretching his lead in New Mexico. The race in Ohio is still a dead heat. Nevada is on the verge of turning blue again as Obama has led in the last two consecutive polls.
Alaska's three electoral votes may be in the bag for McCain with Palin now on the ticket. We'll wait to see as more data becomes available. The same can be said about Pennsylvania with Biden on board. Overall, it's too early to see how much momentum Obama will have going into next week's Republican Convention. I suspect Obama's numbers will shift in his favor in every swing state, especially Colorado and Ohio. Republicans will have a very hard time equaling the Democratic show we saw this week.
1 comment:
I am a registered Republican who plans to vote for the Obama/Biden ticket.The Republican Party has failed us miserably the last eight years. Today really finalized my
decision.Why would Sen. McCain choose Gov. Sarah Palin? She does not have the experience to be a heartbeat away from the oval office.
As a woman I am offended if ANY politician thinks I will vote for their ticket just because there is a woman on it.
Cindy
Post a Comment