Tuesday, November 25, 2008

2010: US Senate Races

CLICK HERE FOR UPDATED 2010 US SENATE RACE PROJECTIONS

706 days until the 2010 election. Who's ready for some polling data?

For those who just can't wait, here's a list of the 34 Class III Senators who are up for reelection in 2010 (2004 vote % to the right). There will also be one special election in Delaware where Tim Kaufman has opened the door for Beau Biden by indicating that he will not run in '10. Delaware Governor, Ruth Minner, appointed Kaufman (Joe Biden's replacement) as the nation's newest Senator yesterday.

Democrats will have the upper hand once again in 2010 and already have a few Republicans in their crosshairs. Martinez (FL), Vitter (LA) and Bunning (KY) all look vulnerable (especially Martinez). Kansas, believe it or not, could also become a target for Democrats if Governor Kathleen Sebelius runs for that open seat.

ElectBlue will continue to monitor these races and update you as information becomes available..even if it is only 2008.

REPUBLICANS (19)
Bennett, Robert F. (R-UT) - 69%
Bond, Christopher S. (R-MO) - 56%
Brownback, Sam (R-KS) - 69% (retiring) 
Bunning, Jim (R-KY) - 51% (expect many contenders during the  Democratic primary)
Burr, Richard (R-NC) - 52% (following Dole's footsteps?)
Coburn, Tom (R-OK) - 53%
Crapo, Mike (R-ID) - 99%
DeMint, Jim (R-SC) - 54%
Grassley, Chuck (R-IA) - 70% (Grassley is 77 years old. Retiring? Vilsack? He's not in running for Ag. Sec.)
Gregg, Judd (R-NH) - 66%
Isakson, Johnny (R-GA) - 58%

Martinez, Mel (R-FL) - 50% (A Bushy  with very low approval numbers)
**Martinez update 12/2/08 - *Won't run in 2010* *Jeb Bush considering?*

McCain, John (R-AZ) - 77% (appears safe now with Gov. Napolitano out of the mix)
Murkowski, Lisa (R-AK) - 49% (safe for GOP, even if convicted of multiple felonies)
Shelby, Richard C. (R-AL) - 68%
Specter, Arlen (R-PA) - 53% (retiring? Chris Matthews?)
Thune, John (R-SD) - 51%
Vitter, David (R-LA) - 51% (good strategy - female opponent ?)
Voinovich, George V. (R-OH) - 64% (Mike DeWine?)

DEMOCRATS (16)
Bayh, Evan (D-IN) - 62%
Boxer, Barbara (D-CA) - 58% (vs. Schwarzenegger?)
Dodd, Christopher J. (D-CT) -66%
Dorgan, Byron L. (D-ND)
Feingold, Russell D. (D-WI)
Inouye, Daniel K. (D-HI) - 76% (will be 86 in 2010. Gov Linda Lingle?)
Kaufman, Tim (D-DE) - appointed 2008 (special election to fill rest of term)
Leahy, Patrick J. (D-VT)
Lincoln, Blanche L. (D-AR) - 56%
Mikulski, Barbara A. (D-MD) - 65%
Murray, Patty (D-WA)
? Barack Obama's replacement ? (D-IL) - 70%
Reid, Harry (D-NV)
Salazar, Ken (D-CO) - 51%
Schumer, Charles E. (D-NY)
Wyden, Ron (D-OR)

2 comments:

Han D. said...

Even though it is "only 2008" you can bet that several folks in each of these states is considering a run for some of the vulnerable seats. Now is the time to figure out who they are and if we don't like them, recruit some of our own. Believe me, winning campaigns are regularly begun in such unassuming ways by unassuming people...

Jim D. said...

Jim D. says:

We have a super Democrat candidate, Darlene Price, in Kentucky running against Jim Bunning. She's a veteran, a former federal agent, a whistle blower who has testified before congress, and the author of the book "Bordergate." Check out her web site: www.Darlene4Senate.com Oh, and by the way, she's already kicking Bunning's but!!!!